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Taking the Guesswork Out of Rheumatoid Arthritis Treatment

February 10, 2026
5 min read

Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a long-term autoimmune disease in which the body’s immune system mistakenly attacks the joints. This causes pain, stiffness, swelling, and can lead to lasting joint damage if not treated effectively. For patients who struggle to experience relief with conventional drugs, a common next step is a class of medicines called TNF-alpha inhibitors—biologic drugs that block a key inflammatory signal called tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) that helps drive joint inflammation.

Although TNF-alpha inhibitors have transformed RA treatment over the last two decades and can dramatically reduce inflammation, not all patients benefit from them. A major challenge in clinical care is that doctors currently have no reliable way to predict ahead of time which patients will respond well to these drugs. This can lead to trial-and-error prescribing, delays in effective treatment, side effects, and higher healthcare costs. 

According to a recently published studyGeorge A. Karpouzas, MD, investigator at The Lundquist Institute for Biomedical Innovation and Chief of Rheumatology at Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, and researchers tested a predictive blood test called Molecular Signature Response Classifier (MSRC). This test incorporates a panel of clinical characteristics and patterns in a person’s gene activity (which genes are switched on or off in their blood cells) to forecast whether they are likely to benefit from TNF-alpha inhibitor therapy before they begin treatment. This kind of test looks beyond traditional clinical measurements and instead reads a “molecular fingerprint” that reflects how a person’s immune system is primed to respond. 

The classifier combines genetic expression data (information about how active particular genes are in the blood) together with some clinical factors—such as sex, body-mass index, patient self-assessment of disease activity, and specific antibody levels—to produce a score that predicts no response to TNFa inhibitors. 

In simpler terms, instead of waiting several months after starting a TNF-alpha inhibitor to see whether it works, this test aims to give patients and doctors an early forecast: if it predicts a poor response, they can consider other treatments right away that might work better. This is a step toward personalized medicine in RA, where therapy is tailored to each patient’s biology rather than relying on guesswork. 

To read the publication and learn more about the study, visit: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0003496725036891